The USDCAD pair appears to be entering a technically significant bearish phase. The pair has failed to hold above the 1.3860 zone, forming a triple top pattern that historically triggered medium-term declines.

๐Ÿ” Key Technical Observations:

โ€ข Downward Pressure Confirmed: A series of lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure.

โ€ข First Major Target: The initial support is seen at 1.3380, a level that has acted as both support and resistance in the past.

โ€ข Second Target: If broken, price may slide further toward 1.3150, which served as a major reaction level throughout 2022โ€“2023.

โ€ข Next Zones: Further continuation could aim for 1.2939, 1.2702, and possibly even 1.2489 depending on macro sentiment and oil prices.

๐Ÿ“† Contextual Factors to Monitor:

โ€ข Crude oil strength tends to benefit CAD (Canadian Dollar), weakening USDCAD.

โ€ข Fed vs. BoC rate divergence could act as the primary macro catalyst.

โ€ข Broad USD pressure post-inflation data could drive momentum into these support zones.


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